Is armed struggle still a viable path for social transformation? In countries where some form of electoral democracy exists, however flawed, this is a question that deserves serious thought. Even Che Guevara, often seen as the symbol of armed insurrection, warned against violence where peaceful avenues remained. In Guerrilla Warfare, he wrote:
"Where a government has come into power through some form of popular vote, fraudulent or not, and maintains at least an appearance of constitutional legality, the guerrilla outbreak cannot be promoted, since the possibilities of peaceful struggle have not yet been exhausted."
Terror tends to beget terror. It rarely inspires collective courage. More often, it breeds silence, surveillance, and stagnation. Social life becomes narrower. Political organisation, harder.
We also live in a time where revolutions of the classical kind—ruptural, decisive, and transformative—have become rare. What lies ahead instead may be long, uneven, often demoralising periods of institutional struggle and slow change. This isn’t to dismiss militancy or organisation. But it is to admit that revolutions today may need different strategies.
Historical lessons underline this complexity. The Allende government in Chile tried to build working-class institutions through the state. It was overwhelmed—first by a strike of the petty bourgeoisie, then by a military coup. Venezuela appeared to solve the military question by electing a former soldier. But it couldn’t build enduring institutions of mass participation or diversify its economy. Cooperative experiments remained shallow. The state relied increasingly on repression as oil revenues declined. Maduro now seeks accommodation with capital.
In South Asia, the picture is mixed. Maoism in India spread across regions where the state was seen as extractive and external, especially in the Adivasi belt. But these zones were too isolated to shape a national strategy. Worse, they became militarised spaces, locked in cycles of insurgency and counterinsurgency, making any peaceful political work nearly impossible. In Nepal, Maoists won office—but not a revolution. They were effective in mobilising against the monarchy, but once the king was overthrown, they struggled to articulate a clear roadmap for the future. The movement, so focused on resisting royal power, lacked a cohesive strategy for post-monarchy governance and transformation.
So, what strategic alternatives exist? One idea is to work in the "cracks" of the system—building democratic institutions like cooperatives, community councils, or unions that can slowly expand and challenge capitalist dominance. These institutions may lack the power to confront the state directly, but they build capacity, confidence, and solidarity among the oppressed.
Yet this approach is not without limits. Such efforts may hit walls—legal, economic, political—that they just cannot overcome. Which is why another track might be equally, if not more, necessary: organising among workers in strategic sectors of the economy. These workers hold leverage. Their ability to disrupt essential flows—transport, energy, logistics—can compel the state to concede. Without this kind of strategic pressure, institution-building alone may remain contained and marginal.
In the end, no strategy is sufficient on its own. What’s needed is a political ecosystem: institutions that endure over time, rooted in everyday life; movements that can mobilise at scale; and workers with the leverage to shift state priorities. Not just bold ideas, but durable structures.
Perhaps the real uncertainty is not whether a path exists, but how to navigate between competing strategies—building local institutions within the system’s gaps, and applying pressure through organised leverage in strategic sectors. Each has its role, and each has its limits. The real work may lie in finding the balance, and staying with the difficulty of that task, even when no clear victory is in sight. The challenge is to build something that can survive the long haul—and be ready, when the moment arrives, to push history forward.